In 2008, the overall operation of the domestic automobile industry was relatively low due to macroeconomic regulation and the impact of the world financial crisis. According to the statistics of China Automobile Industry Association's latest issue of "China's auto industry production and sales news," the domestic automobile production and sales in 2008 were 9,345,100 and 9,385,500 respectively, and the cumulative year-on-year growth rates were 5.21% and 6.70%, respectively. From the perspective of the overall operation of the year, the impact on investment and consumption can be said to be quite equal, so the growth rate of production and sales of passenger cars and commercial vehicles is approaching.
As far as vehicle engines are concerned, from January to December 2008, 54 automobile engine companies that were included in the statistics range produced a total of 8.6668 million engines, and the cumulative sales of engines were 8.7654 million, an increase of 2.27% and 5.00 respectively from the same period of 2007. %. In the past five years, except for the fact that the growth rate of engine production and sales in 2005 was below double digits, the growth rate was far below the growth rate in recent years, and was respectively 6.38 years lower than the low growth year of 2005. And 3.99 percentage points. Despite this, the absolute value of total engine production and sales is still 192,400 units and 417,200 units more than in 2007. The overall increase in sales volume of 410,000 units is already close to the sales volume for the single month of December 2008 (497,000 units).
The difference between the production volume in the first and second half of the year is more than 1 million units
By the end of 2008, of a total of 54 vehicle engine companies, Guangxi Yuchai, FAW-Volkswagen, Liuzhou Wuling Liuji, Changan Automobile, Harbin Dongan Automobile Engine, FAW Group, Chery, Shanghai Volkswagen, FAW Toyota (Tianjin) Engine, Guangzhou Automobile Toyota Engine, Dongfeng Honda Engine, Beijing Hyundai, Dongfeng Nissan Passenger Vehicle, Shanghai General Motors Powertrain and Anhui Quanchai, ranked among the top 15 in terms of cumulative production volume. From the statistics of the first 41 companies with a cumulative production volume of more than 50,000 units, it can be seen that there are 31 companies (more than two in the previous year) with an annual output of more than 100,000 units, and an annual output of more than 200,000 units. There are 19 companies (1 less than the previous year), 12 companies with an annual output of more than 300,000 units (1 more than the previous year), and 4 companies with an annual output of 400,000 units. In the same year, Guangxi Yuchai became the only manufacturer with an annual output of more than 500,000 units after the previous year.
For a more comparable data, there were 25 companies with an average output of more than 10,000 units in mid-2008 (2 less than the end of the first half of the year), and 16 enterprises with an average monthly output of more than 20,000 units ( Compared with the end of the first half of the year, there were four companies with an average monthly output of more than 30,000 units (four less than the end of the first half of the year) and two companies with an average monthly output of more than 40,000 units (as compared with the end of the first half year). When there are two less). The cumulative production volume in the first half of the year can also be compared with the cumulative production volume in the second half of the year. From January to June, the cumulative production of 4,881,000 units exceeded the 1,958,800 units produced in July-December by 1,095,200 units. The ratio of cumulative production in the second half of the year is 1.29. The low market pattern in the first half of the year and the second half of the year is clear at a glance. From the average monthly output of the companies in the first half and the second half of the year, it can be seen that the major reasons for the sluggish market are the reduction in the production of large-scale enterprises.
From another comparison, we can also find that with the analysis of the top 41 companies with an annual production volume of more than 50,000 units, except for the two companies that did not have statistical data to compare in 2007, the cumulative production of 2008 was another 39 companies. There were 19 companies with a year-on-year growth, and 20 companies with a decrease. Output growth was in line with the number of declining companies. In 2007, almost 80% of the enterprises’ production volume was growing.
In terms of production concentration, the cumulative production of the top 5 companies in the cumulative production volume was 25.54%, a decrease of 3.96 percentage points from the previous year and 23.06 percentage points from 48.6% in 2004; the top 12 companies The production concentration was 50.99%, 2.47 percentage points higher than that in 2006.
This shows that in recent years the production scale of medium-sized enterprises has gradually increased. In simple terms, the top five companies in 2008 had a quarter of the industry's production scale, and the top 12 companies had half of the industry's production scale.
The diesel engine market is still an absolute site for commercial vehicles
Divided by fuel type, in 2008, diesel engines respectively completed 2,333,600 units and 2,397,000 units of production and sales, an increase of -0.07% and 3.30% respectively year-on-year. From the perspective of the growth rate of production in terms of kilowatts, the growth rate was 2.10% year-on-year, which was higher than the growth rate of 2.17 percentage points as the statistical unit of production. This is consistent with the annual growth rate of heavy-duty diesel vehicles in the overall commercial vehicles reaching 11.81% and several heavy-duty diesel vehicle companies such as CNHTC, Dongfeng Automobile, FAW Group, Shaanxi Automobile Group, Beiqi Foton and Baotou Beiben. Vulgar achievements are inseparable.
[next] According to the overall performance of diesel engine companies, of the 25 diesel engine companies included in the statistics in 2008, there were 4 companies with cumulative production of more than 200,000 units (equal to the previous year), and cumulative production exceeded 100,000 units. There are 8 companies (equal to the previous year), and there are 12 companies (more than one in the previous year) with a cumulative output of more than 50,000 units. From the previous and the second half of the year, the accumulated production volume of 1,134,300 diesel engines in the first half of the year was 295,000 units more than the cumulative production volume of 1,019,300 units in the second half of the year. This difference is more than the output of 95,800 units of the overall diesel engine in December. It is much higher. The ratio of production in the first and second half of the year is 1.29, which is in line with the trend of the entire automotive market.
Judging from the cumulative production volume, Guangxi Yuchai, FAW Group, Anhui Quanchai, Weichai Holdings, Kunming Yunnei, Dongfeng Motor and Dongfeng Chaochai are among the top seven. Among them, the production concentration of the top 5 ranked manufacturers was 63.79%, a decrease of 1.19 percentage points from the previous year; the production concentration of the top 7 ranked manufacturers was 76.40%, a decrease of 0.70 percentage points from the previous year; if China were selected again The statistics of Sinopec and Jiangling Jiangling's statistics show that the top nine companies have a production concentration of 85.61%, a decrease of 0.19 percentage points from the previous year. The above shows that the production concentration of diesel engine companies is still declining, but it has reached 85% or more of the concentration of the top 9 companies, which can represent the scale of the entire industry.
In the specific performance of diesel engine companies, although Guangxi Yuchai's annual production growth rate is only 0.32%, it still holds the top spot with more than 500,000 units of production. Companies such as China National Heavy Duty Truck Group, Weichai Holdings, and Dongfeng Motor advanced their production rankings by 21.03%, 14.75%, and 11.95%, respectively. Although FAW Group's annual growth rate was less than double-digit (7.33%), it was ranked second from the third place in the previous year by virtue of its good performance in the market. It is worth noting that although Anhui Jianghuai Automobile has annual production capacity of only 13,800 units, its annual growth rate is as high as 176.18%; another company's annual growth rate of Shandong Laiwu also reached a high of 40.47%. In addition, because there has been little progress in the development of diesel saloons in China in the past year, FAW-VW's diesel engine production has dropped by 36.64% over the previous year. Other companies with more declines (more than 10,000 units per year), Anhui Quanchai (-15.85%), Kunming Yunnei (-13.36%) and Yangchai (-10.75%), the growth of these companies The decline in the rate is directly related to the medium and light vehicle market, and it is also related to the fact that the sedan diesel engine produced in Kunming Yunnei has not yet opened up the market.
Medium-displacement gasoline engine developed better
In the case of gasoline engines, the cumulative production and sales in 2008 were respectively 6.227 million units and 6.3627 million units, an increase of 3.13% and 5.62% respectively over the previous year. From the overall performance of gasoline engine companies, among the 39 petrol engine companies in the statistics, there are 3 companies with an annual production capacity of more than 400,000 units (flat with the previous year), and 10 companies with production capacity of more than 300,000 units. In the previous year, there were two more companies. There were 15 companies that produced more than 20 units (one less than the previous year), and 23 companies that produced more than 10 units (two more than in the previous year).
In terms of monthly average output, there are 18 companies with an average monthly output of more than 10,000 units, 13 companies with an average monthly output of over 20,000 units, and 3 companies with an average monthly output of more than 30,000 units. Judging from the 23 companies with a cumulative production volume of more than 100,000 units, it is impossible to compare one without the 2007 data, while the remaining 22 companies have a positive growth in annual production, and there are 12 negative annual production increases. . From the output of the first half and the second half of the year, the accumulated production of 3.5643 million units in the first half of the year was 801,100 more than the cumulative output of 2,763,200 units in the second half of the year. 800,000 units were already the first month of the gasoline engine market when the automobile market was in a better position. The amount of production. The ratio of production volume in the first and second half of the year was the same as that of the overall engine market and the diesel engine market, both being 1.29, which fully demonstrated that the two markets of passenger cars and commercial vehicles fell almost simultaneously.
In terms of production volume, FAW-Volkswagen, Liuzhou Wuling Liuji, Changan Automobile, Harbin Dongan Automobile Engine, Chery, Shanghai Volkswagen, FAW Toyota (Tianjin) Engine, GAC Toyota Engine, Dongfeng Honda Engine, Beijing Hyundai, Dongfeng Nissan Passenger Vehicle , Shanghai General Dynamics, Shanghai General Motors, Harbin Dongan Automobile Power and Geely Holdings, rank among the top 15 in annual production rankings. Among them, the production concentration of the top five companies was 31.84%, a decrease of 2.88 percentage points from the previous year; the production concentration of the top nine companies was 51.65%, a decrease of 3.41 percentage points from the previous year. Compared with the overall 39 companies, and in the case that the production rank of the enterprises ranked in the last few is very low, the production concentration of the nine companies is barely more than half, indicating that the current gasoline engine market dominated by passenger vehicles is how much The dispersion of the output of various manufacturers is only a few hundred units.
It is worth noting that FAW-Volkswagen's annual growth rate of gasoline engine production is only 1.25%. However, due to the decline in Liuzhou Wuling Liuji and Changan Automobiles in Liuzhou, which ranked first and second in 2007, FAW-Volkswagen is not only The passenger car market recaptured the championship, and its ranking of gasoline engine production dropped from the number one position in 2007 to the third, and this time it has regained its highest position. Compared to Liuzhou Wuling Liuji and Changan Automobile, which are mainly based on mini-vehicle engines, FAW-Volkswagen and other medium-displacement engines that match Class A passenger cars and above are well developed in 2008. . The growth rate of production of other gasoline engine companies is almost the same as the matching of the entire vehicle market. Among the gasoline engine manufacturers with an annual production capacity of more than 100,000 units, the higher growth companies are FAW Cars (47.88%) and Dongfeng Nissan. Passenger car (32.85%), Changan Suzuki (32.64%), Dongfeng Honda (32.26%), FAW Toyota (Tianjin) Engine (32.11%), Beijing Hyundai (20.05%) and Harbin Dongan Automobile Engine (10.27%); growth The lower rate companies are Shenyang Aerospace Mitsubishi (-33.88%), Changan Ford Mazda (-25.13%), Shenlong Auto (-18.02%) and GAC Toyota Motor (-10.47%).
The automotive engine market is still solid
Looking at the automotive engine market in 2008, regardless of the diesel engine and gasoline engine, the operation in the second half of the year was in line with the overall decline in the automotive market, and the ratio of the gap between the first and second half of the year surprisingly reached an astonishing degree of consistency, indicating the current market. The decline is mainly due to the changes in the economic fundamentals themselves, and has little relevance to structural changes and local influencing factors in each segment market. From the overall perspective of the whole year of 2008, with the exception of individual companies that have experienced significant declines, most companies still maintain a relatively high level of production and sales, and some companies still have significant growth. From the point of view of only 31 engine manufacturers with a cumulative production capacity of more than 100,000 units in 2008 and two more than in 2007, the foundation of the group of automotive engine companies in China is still on the assumption that relevant national policies are appropriate in 2009. As the auto market has picked up, the year 2009 is expected to usher in a steady growth is not a luxury.
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