Recently, the relevant departments such as the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) are in the process of checking the elimination of backward production capacity. The "Guided Catalogue for Eliminating Outdated Capacity" will be revised based on the results of this inspection. It is expected that the revised Catalogue for the Elimination of Obsolete Capacity will be implemented next year.
Chang Yingzhi, a research fellow of China Investment Advisor Chemical Industry, pointed out that due to the problems of low-level repeated construction and extensive development methods for many years, the overcapacity situation in China's chemical industry is more serious, and it is very difficult to completely eliminate backward production capacity and realize the transformation of development methods in the short term. . Therefore, China's chemical industry needs to completely eliminate backward production capacity still needs a long-term process. In the future, China needs to adopt gradual and other methods to achieve a healthy and orderly development of the chemical industry.
According to relevant data, the overcapacity situation in the traditional sub-sectors of the chemical industry in China is relatively serious. Among them, coke, methanol, calcium carbide and other industries, the operating rate of the device is about 50%; caustic soda, soda ash, polyvinyl chloride, pesticides, fertilizers, coal chemical industry, the device operating rate is also less than 70%; and tires and other industries There has also been a problem of structural overcapacity.
In recent years, in order to promote the healthy development of the chemical industry, these sub-sectors with severe excess capacity have formulated strict access conditions and improved relevant policies and regulations to control the blind expansion of production capacity and low-level redundant construction; EIA, land and production safety approvals have also been strictly enforced; in addition, measures have also been taken to encourage companies with excess capacity to extend into the downstream industrial chain. However, the effect of these measures is not very satisfactory.
The "2011-2015 China Petroleum [9.58-0.83%] Chemical Industry Investment Analysis and Prospect Forecast Report" issued by the China Investment Adviser shows that due to the existence of large-scale interest associations between local government and enterprises and related policies are not clear, etc. The trend of capacity expansion in some chemical sub-sectors has not been effectively contained. In the next few years, there will still be a lot of new expansion capacity put into operation in industries with severe excess capacity such as nitrogen fertilizers, chlor-alkali, and methanol.
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