Shao Renen: The domestic small diesel engine market is still changing

According to the statistics of the China Diesel Engine Industry Association's Small Diesel Engine Branch, the single-cylinder diesel engine showed a recovery growth in the first quarter of this year, but historical highs will not be reproduced, and the multi-cylinder small diesel engine market continues to be optimistic.

When the time came to May, what was the status of the domestic small diesel engine industry and what was the market? Shao Renen, secretary-general of the Small Diesel Division of China Internal Combustion Engine Industry Association, said: Let the data speak.

After the hot season began to decline

In the past 2009, single-cylinder diesel engine production and sales of 7.77 million units, an increase of 16.4% year on year, to achieve a recovery of growth; production and sales of multi-cylinder small diesel engine 3 million units, an increase of 31.7%, has become a high-speed growth.

Shao Renen said that in 2009 the country’s policies for protecting development, ensuring growth, and ensuring people’s livelihood were successively promulgated. Under a series of policies to expand domestic demand, 4 trillion yuan was expanded to implement the domestic demand plan, and the scale of agricultural operations was gradually expanded and new rural construction was promoted. The introduction of a subsidy policy for the purchase of agricultural machinery with a market value of RMB13.0 billion and incentives for the adoption of policies for automobiles and motorcycles to the countryside are the fundamental guarantee and driving force for the single-cylinder diesel engine to achieve recovery growth and high growth of multi-cylinder Xiaochai.

After accepting the upward trend of the past year and opening the door at the beginning of the year, the industry has generated high expectations for the production and sales in the first quarter. However, the reality is that in January and February, after the blaze, the stagnation and decline in March. In the first quarter of this year, the production and sales of the single-cylinder diesel engine industry in the country was nearly 2 million units. Therefore, it can be judged that the single-cylinder diesel engine has embarked on the road of sustained recovery growth. In the multi-cylinder small diesel engine (≤4 cylinders) industry, in addition to the major vehicles supporting Yunnei, Yuchai, Chaochai, Xichai, Jiangling and other enterprises, 14 general-purpose multi-cylinder Xiaochai manufacturers have produced and sold nearly 400,000 units. Maintain rapid growth.

As we all know, the small diesel engine covers a four-cylinder diesel engine. Its supporting fields are entirely used in automobiles (light commercial vehicles, passenger cars such as passenger cars and micro-passengers, low-speed cars), tractors (large, medium and small), and construction machinery. (medium and small) combine harvesters, rice transplanters, management machines, micro tillage machines, drainage and irrigation machinery and other engineering agricultural machines, as well as small and medium-power industrial, marine, and power generation power units supporting roads and non-roads, mobile and relatively fixed machinery The power source is the preferred power for these power devices for a long period of time. At present, except for a small amount of single-cylinder diesel engines used in industrial and living facilities, 95% of the total products are exported, low-speed car accessories and agricultural use, while multi-cylinder small diesel is 75% for vehicles, and 25% for agricultural machinery. .

Terminal accessory products determine Xiaochai Market

As a mid-range small diesel engine, its market performance depends on the development of end-products. Shao Renen analyzed that at the beginning of the year, under the guidance of various favorable policies and signals, enterprises were enthusiastic and they went all out to organize production and shipping. They used every means to raise funds and organize accessories. Everyone looked forward to the advent of the season in optimistic terms. Demonstrated a high opening scene.

According to statistics, during the period from January to February, 48 Dazhong Tow and 131 small tow tractors produced and sold 367,100 tractors of various types, among which the large, medium, and small model products were 15,200, 59,200, and 257,700 respectively. The year-on-year increase was 36.13%, 67.25%, and 41.89%. As of the end of February, a total of 58,161 harvesting machines were produced by 73 harvesting machinery companies, a drop of 5.75% compared with 61708 in the same period last year.

Since last July, the small tow has maintained continuous growth. The reason is that small tractors have been included in the subsidy for agricultural machinery purchases and have led the company to provide small four-wheeled vehicles with vertical 1115 diesel engines. Suddenly, supply was in short supply, making Shunde high-power vertical diesel engine production enterprises soar.

In the survival and self-rescue, changing the use scope and space has become the backbone of small-scale production and marketing. In addition, with only the use of hand-wringing in hills and mountains in the southwest region, this year's hand-rolling into the subsidy list is not only the region but also the amount of Both have increased. Since the combined harvester's peak season (usually May) was later than that of the tractors, the production and sales of the joint harvesters declined slightly at the beginning of the year.

The agricultural machinery market is characterized by policies and meteorological pull factors. Looking at the current situation, this year's agricultural machinery purchase subsidy does not have the effect on the market. Meteorology, after the Lantern Festival, the country entered an all-time cold March, heavy snow in the north, drought in the southwest, delayed spring plowing and spring planting, and the peak season in March was postponed. In 2010, subsidies for purchases and subsidies were implemented. The period is more than 20 days later than in previous years, so the decline in the production of agricultural machinery enterprises in March is also reasonable.

Last year, 637,700 units of machinery were harvested, exceeding the 600,000 units mark, an increase of 55.39% year-on-year. Among them, the combined harvester produced 117,900 units. Although the volume rose, the proportion in the harvesting machinery dropped from 24.08% in 2008 to 21.24%. In 2009, there were a total of 111.9 million subsidized feeders, including 78,500 rice and wheat machines and 33,400 corn machines, an increase of 3.07 and 2.24 times year-on-year, indicating that demand rigidity was insufficient this year. As for tillage machines, management machines, and mobile rice transplanters, they continue to benefit, while machinery such as irrigation and drainage and mobile generators have soared due to the demand for disaster prevention.

In the rural transport market, 142,725 low-speed trucks were produced and sold in the first quarter, an increase of 6.43% year-on-year to 1,340,98 units, and 492,973 units of three-wheeled vehicles, representing an increase of 17.45% year-on-year to 419,723 units. This fully demonstrated the urgent need for transportation tools in rural areas.

Looking at the automotive market again, the automobile production and sales in the first quarter increased by a large margin. Sales of crossover passenger cars totaled 705,900 units, an increase of 63.46% year-on-year, compared with 488,800 units last year; sales of light trucks reached 466,293 units, an increase of 46.68% year-on-year, compared with 317,896 units last year; 142,492 units of minivans were sold, an increase of 28.91% year-on-year to 110,534 units; light trucks 33,798 units of non-integrated vehicles were sold, an increase of 61.39% year-on-year compared with 20942 units last year; and 10078 units of non-completed minivans were sold, an increase of 13.94% year-on-year to 8,845 units last year.

In addition, the sales and sales of diesel passenger cars also increased year-on-year in the first quarter, with a slight increase of around 50%, except for the non-full-scale increase in light passenger diesel by 20%. In terms of multi-cylinder Xiaochai supporting industry, only the sales of non-holistic diesel vehicles with small cargoes fell compared with the same period of last year. Production fell by 20%, sales dropped by 10%, and gasoline vehicles still increased year-on-year, which is worth noting.

Xiaochai industry should do four homework

According to the analysis of the domestic small-scale diesel engine production and sales market in the first quarter, Shao Renen judged that the domestic small-scale diesel engine market has changed. In this regard, Shao Renen suggested that the industry should pay attention to and do well in homework in four areas.

First, in order to meet the requirements of energy conservation and emission reduction, the industry's difficulties in technology are inferior to the guarantee of production consistency. The short-term supply chain status is the biggest concern.

Secondly, the R&D work of enterprises in the industry is still not standardized, and the emphasis and investment on intellectual property rights are not enough. Trade frictions are prone to occur, and investment in patents and other aspects must be increased. To learn to understand and learn the rules concerning their own interests, rely on industry organizations to circumvent conflicts and resolve contradictions.

Thirdly, supporting road vehicles calls for the development of a new generation of crossover passenger cars and light diesel commercial vehicles with small displacement, high speed, light weight, and emission regulations, independent innovation, self-contained systems, and independent property rights. Not too wide, it has reached the day of action.

Fourth, no matter whether it is a new-generation single-cylinder diesel engine or a new generation of multi-cylinder small diesel engine, the general technical conditions need to be formulated. As the main battlefield for the implementation of the standard, the main body of standard formulation, the preparation of Xiaochai’s production and sales companies is still far from being completed. The operational plan that the target is implemented in the form of an entrepreneurial alliance is far from the agenda, and the road to go is long.

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